Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.039315 0.045735 0.052364 0.059685 0.067510 0.075592 0.084540
2025-10-26 0.028884 0.038047 0.048074 0.059693 0.072635 0.086479 0.102285
2025-11-02 0.022576 0.033331 0.045706 0.060605 0.077720 0.096480 0.118339
2025-11-09 0.017528 0.029090 0.043063 0.060478 0.081011 0.103970 0.131153
2025-11-16 0.012713 0.024284 0.039072 0.058183 0.081305 0.107656 0.139317
2025-11-23 0.009089 0.020371 0.035675 0.056166 0.081562 0.110996 0.146817
2025-11-30 0.007199 0.018554 0.034725 0.056970 0.085023 0.117925 0.158320
2025-12-07 0.005826 0.017255 0.034294 0.058295 0.089012 0.125393 0.170377
2025-12-14 0.004949 0.016597 0.034649 0.060562 0.094106 0.134132 0.183887
2025-12-21 0.003865 0.015326 0.033981 0.061373 0.097304 0.140543 0.194616
2025-12-28 0.003774 0.015941 0.036100 0.065933 0.105241 0.152678 0.212119
2026-01-04 0.002531 0.013871 0.033984 0.064607 0.105600 0.155563 0.218599
2026-01-11 0.001867 0.012914 0.033610 0.065798 0.109382 0.162873 0.230686
2026-01-18 0.001205 0.011649 0.032635 0.066102 0.112016 0.168811 0.241197
2026-01-25 0.000777 0.010771 0.032202 0.067121 0.115551 0.175843 0.253018
2026-02-01 0.000380 0.009559 0.031045 0.066998 0.117514 0.180879 0.262393
2026-02-08 0.000061 0.007701 0.028453 0.064577 0.116281 0.181821 0.266714
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006152 0.026164 0.062446 0.115325 0.183027 0.271287
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005612 0.025829 0.063296 0.118414 0.189338 0.282099
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005264 0.025858 0.064696 0.122248 0.196593 0.294068
2026-03-08 NaN 0.005200 0.026509 0.067089 0.127461 0.205616 0.308222
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004755 0.026226 0.067944 0.130513 0.211856 0.318935
2026-03-22 NaN 0.005312 0.028352 0.072750 0.139119 0.225253 0.338515